Centro de Predicción Numérica del Tiempo y Clima
PERÚ - Ministerio del Ambiente - Instituto Geofísico del Perú - Investigación en Prevención de Desastres Naturales

Jhan Carlo Espinoza

Encargado de la Subdirección de Ciencias de la Atmósfera e Hidrósfera

Ph.D. en Ciencias del Medio Ambiente - Universidad Pierre et Marie Curie. Paris Francia.

M.Sc. en Ingeniería de Recursos hidrícos - Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina. Lima. Perú

Ing. Agrícola - Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina. Lima. Perú

e-mail: jhan-carlo.espinoza@igp.gob.pe

Teléfono: 51-1-3172300 An. 137

Curriculum vitae (español , inglés y francés )

Página personal

Perfil en Google Scholar

Temas de investigación

Impactos de la variabilidad climática en la hidrología de la cuenca amazónica y en América del Sur tropical.

Publicaciones enviadas a revistas internacionales / en revisión

  • Aguilar-Lome J., Espinoza JC., Espinoza-Villar R., Leyva-Molina WM., Willems BL., Rojas-Acuñoa J. Elevation-dependent warming in the Andes, assessed using LST MODIS time series (2000-2016). Submitted to International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation.
  • Apaéstegui J, Cruz FW, Vuille M., Espinoza JC., Sifeddine A., Strikis N., Guyot J-L., Ventura R., Cheng H., Edwards L. Precipitation changes over the eastern Bolivian Andes inferred from speleothem (d18O) records from the last 1400 years. Submitted to Earth and Planetary Science Letters.
  • Espinoza JC; Ronchail J; Marengo JA; Segura H; Drapeau G; Guimberteau M; Alves LM, Cochonneau G, Filizola N, Guyot JL, Lavado-Casimiro W, Molina Carpio J, Noriega Flores L, De Oliveira E, Villacís M. Revisiting rainfall variability and the evolution of the dry days frequency in the Amazon basin (1980-2014) using a new gridded data set. Submitted to Comptes Rendus Geoscience (CRAS).
  • Zubieta R., Saavedra M., Espinoza JC., Ronchail J., Drapeau G., Martin-Vides J., Sulca J. Assessing precipitation concentration in the Amazon basin from different satellite based datasets. Submitted to Int. Journal of Climatology.

Artículos científicos arbitrados

  • Ronchail J., Espinoza JC., Guimberteau M., Manon S., Cochonneau G., Schor T., 2018: The flood recession period in Western Amazonia and its variability during the 1985-2015 period. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 15. 16-30. Doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.11.008
  • Paccini, L., Espinoza J.C., Ronchail J., Segura H., 2017: Intraseasonal rainfall variability in the Amazon basin related to large-scale circulation patterns: A focus on western Amazon-Andes transition region. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.5341.
  • Bouchez J., Moquet JS., Espinoza JC., Martinez JM., Guyot JL., Lagane C., Filizola N., Noriega L., Hidalgo Sanchez L., Pombosa R. 2017:: River mixing in the Amazon as a driver of concentration discharge relationships. Water Resource Research Doi: 10.1002/2017WR020591
  • Junquas C., Takahashi K., Condom T., Espinoza JC., Chavez, S., Sicart JE, Lebel T., 2017: Understanding the influence of orography over the precipitation diurnal cycle and the associated atmospheric processes in the central Andes. Climate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-017-3858-8.
  • Marengo JA, J.C. Espinoza, L.M. Alvez, J. Ronchail y J. Baez. ,2017: [Regional Climates] Central South America [in "State of the Climate in 2016"]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 98(8), S187-S190. PDF
  • Vauchel, P., Santini, W., Guyot, J.L., Moquet, J.S., Martinez, J.M., Espinoza, J.C., Baby, P., Fuertes, O., Noriega, L., Puita, O., Sondag, F., Fraizy, P., Armijos, E., Cochonneau, G., Timouk, F., de Oliveira, E., Filizola, N., Molina, J., Ronchail, J., 2017: A reassessment of the suspended sediment load in the Madeira River Basin from the Andes of Peru and Bolivia to the Amazon River in Brazil, based on 10 years of data from the HYBAM monitoring programme. Journal of Hydrology, Doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.07.018
  • Zubieta, R., Getirana, A., Espinoza, J. C., Lavado-Casimiro, W., and Aragon, L., 2017: Hydrological modeling of the Peruvian-Ecuadorian Amazon Basin using GPM-IMERG satellite-based precipitation dataset, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3543-3555, Doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3543-2017.
  • Sulca, J., Takahashi, K., Espinoza, J.C., Vuille, M. and Lavado-Casimiro, W., 2017: Impacts of different ENSO flavors and tropical Pacific convection variability (ITCZ, SPCZ) on austral summer rainfall in South America, with a focus on Peru. Int. J. Climatol. Doi:10.1002/joc.5185
  • Espinoza-Villar, R, Martinez, JM., Armijos, E., Espinoza JC., Filizola, N., Dos Santos, A., Willems B., Fraizy P., Santini W., Vauchel, P., 2017: Spatio-temporal monitoring of suspendent sediment in Solimões River (2000 - 2014). C.R. Geoscience. doi: 10.1016/j.crte.2017.05.001
  • Wongchuig-Correa, S., de Paiva, R.C.D., Espinoza, J.C., Collischonn, W. 2017: Multi-decadal Hydrological Retrospective: Case study of Amazon floods and droughts, Journal of Hydrology, Doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.04.019.
  • Molina-Carpio J, Espinoza JC, Vauchel P, Ronchail J, Gutierrez B, Guyot JL, Noriega L. 2017, 2017: The hydroclimatology of the upper Madeira River basin: spatio-temporal variability and trends (1967-2013). Hydrological Sciences Journal. Doi: 10.1080/02626667.2016.1267861
  • Espinoza, J.C., Segura, H., Ronchail, J., Drapeau, G. y Gutierrez-Cori, O. 2016: Evolution of wet- and dry-day frequency in the western Amazon basin: Relationship with atmospheric circulation and impacts on vegetation. Water Resources Research. doi: 10.1002/2016WR019305. (PDF)
  • Marengo JA, J.C. Espinoza, J. Ronchail y L. M. Alves. 2016: [Regional Climates] Tropical South America east of the Andes [in "State of the Climate in 2015"]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 97(8), S184-S185. (PDF)
  • Segura, H., Espinoza, J.C., Junquas, C. y Takahashi, K. , 2016: Evidencing decadal and interdecadal hydroclimatic variability over the Central Andes. Environmental Research Letters, Volume 11, Number 9, (PDF)
  • Marengo JA, J.C. Espinoza, Ronchail and L. M. Alves, 2015: [Regional Climates] Tropical South America east of the Andes [in "State of the Climate in 2014"]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 96 (7). S179-S181. (PDF)
  • Marengo, J. A. and Espinoza, J. C., 2015: Extreme seasonal droughts and floods in Amazonia: causes, trends and impacts. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4420 (PDF)
  • Zubieta, R., Geritana, A., Espinoza, J.C. y Lavado W., 2015: Impacts of Satellite-based Precipitation Datasets on Rainfall-Runoff Modeling of the Western Amazon Basin of Peru and Ecuador, Journal of Hydrology, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.06.064 (PDF)
  • Espinoza, J. C., Chavez, S., Ronchail, J., Junquas, C., Takahashi, K. and Lavado, W., 2015: Rainfall hotspots over the southern tropical Andes: Spatial distribution, rainfall intensity, and relations with large-scale atmospheric circulation Water Resour. Res., 51, doi:10.1002/2014WR016273. (PDF)
  • Espinoza JC, Marengo, J., Ronchail, J., Molina, J., Noriega, L., and Guyot, J.L., 2014: The extreme 2014 flood in south-western Amazon basin: the role of tropical-subtropical South Atlantic SST gradient. Environ. Res. Lett. 9 124007 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/12/124007. (PDF)
  • Apaéstegui, J.; Cruz, F. W.; Sifeddine, A.; Espinoza, J. C.; Guyot, J. L.; Khodri, M.; Strikis, N.; Santos, R. V.; Cheng, H.; Edwards, L.; Carvalho, E.; Santini, W., 2014: Hydroclimate variability of the South American Monsoon System during the last 1600 yr inferred from speleothem isotope records of the north-eastern Andes foothills in Peru. Clim. Past Discuss., 10, 533-561, doi:10.5194/cpd-10-533-2014, 2014. (PDF)
  • Sicart JE., Espinoza JC., Queno L., Medina M., 2014: Radiative properties of clouds over a tropical Bolivian glacier: seasonal variations and relationship with regional atmospheric circulation. Submitted to International Journal of Climatology. (PDF).
  • Marengo J A, L. M. Alves, J. C. Espinoza, and J. Ronchail, 2014: [Regional Climates] Tropical South America east of the Andes [in "State of the Climate in 2013"]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95 (7), S170-S171. (PDF)
  • Lavado W and Espinoza J.C., 2014: Impact of El Niño and La Niña events on Rainfall in Peru. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, v.29, 171-182. (PDF)
  • Gloor, M., Brienen, R. J. W., Galbraith, D., Feldpausch, T. R., Schöngart, J., Guyot, J.-L., Espinoza, J. C., Lloyd, J., Phillips, O. L., 2013: Intensification of the Amazon hydrological cycle over the last two decades. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1002/grl.50377 (PDF)
  • Guimberteau, M., Ronchail, J., Espinoza, J. C., Lengaigne, M., Sultan, B., Polcher, J., Drapeau, G., Guyot, J.-L., Ducharne A., Cialis, P., 2013: Future changes in precipitation and impacts on extreme streamflow over Amazonian sub-basins. Environmental Research Letters 8 01403. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014035 (PDF)
  • Espinoza JC., Ronchail J., Frappart F., Lavado W., Santini W., Guyot JL., 2013: The major floods in the Amazonas River and tributaries (Western Amazon basin) during the 1970-2012 period: A focus on the 2012 flood. Journal of Hydrometeorology, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0100.1. (PDF)
  • Espinoza JC., Ronchail J., Lengaigne M., Quispe, N., Silva Y., Bettolli, ML., Avalos G., Llacza A., 2013: Revisiting wintertime cold air intrusions at the East of the Andes: Propagating features from subtropical Argentina to Peruvian Amazon and relationship with large-scale circulation patterns. Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1639-y (PDF)
  • Guimberteau, M., Drapeau, G., Ronchail, J., Sultan, B., Polcher, J., Martinez, J.- M., Prigent, C., Guyot, J.-L., Cochonneau, G., Espinoza JC., Filizola, N., Fraizy, P., Lavado, W., De Oliveira, E., Pombosa, R., Noriega, L., and Vauchel, P., 2012: Discharge simulation in the sub-basins of the Amazon using ORCHIDEE forced by new datasets, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 911-935, 2012, doi:10.5194/hess-16- 911-2012. (PDF)
  • Lavado W., Labat D., Ronchail J., Espinoza JC., Guyot JL., 2012: Trends in rainfall and temperature in the Peruvian Amazon-Andes basin over the last 40 years (1965-2007). Hydrological Processes. doi: 10.1002/hyp.9418 (PDF)
  • Espinoza, J. , J. Ronchail, J. Guyot, C. Junquas, G. Drapeau, J. Martinez, W. Santini, P. Vauchel, W. Lavado, J. Ordoñez, and R. Espinoza, 2012: From drought to flooding: understanding the abrupt 2010-2011 hydrological annual cycle in the Amazonas River and tributaries, Environmental Research Letters, 7 024008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/2/024008. (PDF)
  • D. Labat, J.-C. Espinoza, J. Ronchail, G. Cochonneau, E. de Oliveira, J.C.Doudou & J.-L. Guyot, 2012: Fluctuations in the monthly discharge of Guyana Shield rivers, related to Pacific and Atlantic climate variability. Hydrological Sciences Journal, doi:10.1080/02626667.2012.695074 (PDF)
  • Lavado W., Ronchail J., Labat D.,Espinoza JC., Guyot J.L., 2012: Basin-scale analysis of rainfall and runoff in Peru (1969-2004): Pacific, Titicaca and Amazonas drainages. Hydrological Sciences Journal doi: 10.1080/02626667.2012.672985
  • Guimberteau, M., Drapeau, G., Ronchail, J., Sultan, B., Polcher, J., Martinez, J.-M., Prigent, C., Guyot, J.-L., Cochonneau, G., Espinoza, J. C., Filizola, N., Fraizy, P., Lavado, W., De Oliveira, E., Pombosa, R., Noriega, L., and Vauchel, P., 2011: Discharge simulation in the sub-basins of the Amazon using ORCHIDEE forced by new datasets, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 8, 11171-11232, doi:10.5194/hessd-8-11171-2011. ( PDF)
  • Lavado W., Ronchail J., Labat D., Espinoza J.C., Guyot J.L., 2011: A basin-scale analysis of rainfall and runoff in Peru (1969-2004): Pacific, Titicaca and Amazonas drainages. Accepted in Hydrological Sciences Journal.
  • Espinoza JC., Ronchail J., Guyot J.L., Junquas C., Vauchel P., Lavado W.S., Drapeau G., Pombosa R., 2011: Climate variability and extremes drought in the upper Solimões River (Western Amazon Basin): Understanding the exceptional 2010 drought. Geophys. Res. Lett., DOI:10.1029/ 2011GL047862. (PDF)
  • Getirana A.C.V.,Espinoza J.C., Ronchail J., Rotunno Filho O.C., 2011:. Assessment of different precipitation datasets and their impacts on the water balance of the Negro River basin. Journal of Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.04.037. ( PDF)
  • Espinoza J C., Lengaigne M. Ronchail J., Janicot S., 2011: Large-Scale circulation Patterns and related rainfall in the Amazon basin: a Neuronal Networks approach. Climate Dynamics. DOI. 10.1007/s00382-011-1010-8. (PDF)
  • Espinoza J.C, Ronchail J., Lavado W., Carranza J., Cochonneau G., De Oliveira E., Pombosa R. Vauchel P., Guyot J.L., 2010: Variabilidad espacio-temporal de las lluvias en la cuenca amazónica y su relación con la variabilidad hidrológica regional. Un enfoque particular sobre la región andina. Revista Peruana Geo-Atmosférica, 2, 99 - 130. (PDF)
  • Espinoza J.C, Lavado W., Ordoñes J., Fraizy P., Guyot J.L., Ronchail J., Vauchel P., Cochonneau G., Filizola N., Labat D., De Oliveira E. 2010: Evolución regional de los caudales en el conjunto de la cuenca del Amazonas para el periodo 1974-2004 y su relación con factores climáticos. Revista Peruana Geo-Atmosférica, 1, 66 - 89. (PDF)
  • Espinoza J.C., Guyot J.L., Ronchail J., Cochonneau G., Filizola N., Fraizy P., Labat D., de Oliveira E., Ordoñez J.J. and Vauchel P. (2009). Contrasting regional discharge evolution in the Amazon Basin. Journal of Hydrology, 375, 297-311. (PDF)
  • Espinoza J.C., Ronchail J., Guyot J.L., Cochonneau G., Filizola N., Lavado W., de Oliveira E., Pombosa R. and Vauchel P. (2009). Spatio-temporal rainfall variability in the Amazon Basin Countries (Brazil, Peru, Bolivia, Colombia and Ecuador). International Journal of Climatology, 29, 1574-1594. (PDF)
  • Espinoza J.C., Ronchail J. Lengaigne M. 2009. Types de temps et pluies en Amazonie. Geographia Technica. Numéro spécial. 157-162. (PDF)
  • Espinoza J.C, P. Fraizy, J.L. Guyot, J.J. Ordoñez, R. Pombosa, J. Ronchail. 2006. La variabilité des débits du Rio Amazonas au Pérou. Climate variability and Change - Hydrological Impacts (Procceedings of the Fifth FRIEND World Conference held at Havana, Cuba, November 2006), IAHS Publ. 308, 2006, 424-429. (PDF)
  • Espinoza J.C., J.L. Guyot, J. Ronchail, L. Noriega, J.J. Ordoñez Galves, R. Pombosa and H. Romero 2006. Structure spatiale et temporelle des pluies dans le basin amazonien. Les risques liés au temps et au climat (Actes du XIX Colloque International de Climatologie, Epernay en septembre 2006), AIC Publ., 19, 232-237.
  • Ronchail J, Guyot J-L, Espinoza JC, Callède J, Cochonneau G, De Oliveira E, Ordoñez JJ, Filizola N. 2006. Impact of the Amazon tributaries on flooding in Obidos. Climate variability and Change - Hydrological Impacts (Procceedings of the Fifth FRIEND World Conference held at Havanna, Cuba, November 2006), IAHS Publ. 308, 2006, 220-225.
  • Ronchail J., Cochonneau G., Guyot J.L., Espinoza J.C., de Oliveira E., Noriega L., Ordoñez Galvez J.J., Romero H. 2006. Variabilité à long terme des pluies en Amérique du sud tropicale. Les risques liés au temps et au climat (Actes du XIX Colloque International de Climatologie, tenu à Epernay en septembre 2006), AIC Publ., 19, 493-497.

Capítulos en libros

  • Ronchail J., T. Schor, J.C. Espinoza, M. Sabot, H. Pinheiro, P. Gomez, G. Drapeau, V. Michot, N. Filizola, J.L. Guyot, B. Sultan, J.M. Martinez, 2016: Hydrologie et production agricole dans le nord-ouest de l'Amazonie. Bulletin de l'Association des Géographes Français, ISSN 0004-5322, Vol. 93, Nro. 3, 2016.
  • Filizola N, Cândido L, Manzi A, Espinoza JC, Ronchail J, Guyot JL. Amazonía y Agua. Desarrollo sostenible en el siglo XXI. Bernal H., Sierra C., Angulo M. Editors. UNESCO Etxea editorial service.

Otras publicaciones

  • H. Segura, J.C. Espinoza, C. Junquas y K. Takahashi, 2016: Variabilidad hidroclimática decadal-interdecadal en los Andes sur del Perú. Boletín Técnico "Generación de modelos climáticos para el pronóstico de la ocurrencia del Fenómeno El Niño", Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Febrero, 3, 2, 9-10. (PDF)
  • Dewitte, B., K. Takahashi , K. Goubanova, A. Montecinos, K. Mosquera, S. Illig, I. Montes, A. Paulmier, V. Garçon, S. Purca, R. Flores, L. Bourrel, P. Rau, D. Labat, W. Lavado y J. C. Espinoza, 2014: Las diversas facetas de El Niño y sus efectos en la costa del Perú, artículo publicado en el libro "El Perú frente al Cambio Climático, resultados de investigaciones franco-peruanas". (PDF)
  • Santini W, Martinez JM, Espinoza-Villar R, Cochonneau G, Vauchel P, Moquet JS, Baby P, Espinoza JC, Lavado W, Carranza J y Guyot JL. 2014: Sediment budget in the Ucayali River basin, an Andean tributary of the Amazon River. Sediment Dynamics from the Summit to the Sea (Proceedings of a symposium held in New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, 11-14 December 2014) (IAHS Publ. 367, 2014). (PDF).
  • Lavado, W. S., Espinoza, J. C., 2014: Entendiendo los impactos de diferentes tipos de El Niño y La Niña en las lluvias del Perú, Boletín Técnico "Generación de modelos climáticos para el pronóstico de la ocurrencia del Fenómeno El Niño", Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Marzo, 1, 3, 4-7. (PDF).